Observing the renewable energy transition from a European perspective

Archive for the month “June, 2012”

Peak Oil Explained in 78 Seconds

Peak Oil from Eike Toellner on Vimeo.

ASPO Conference Summary

Earlier this year the ASPO 2012 conference took place in Vienna/Austria. If you want to hear what the finest minds on the topic of resource depletion have to say, this is your address.

[ – summary of the congress]
[ASPO 2012 youtube channel]
[ASPO official site]

The Worlds Largest Oil, Gas & Coal Producers

Timeseries of oil, gas and coal production data up and including 2011 (oil) and 2010 (gas & coal).

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Oil & Gas Giants

[red=gas green=oil]
The world’s 932 giant oil and gas fields are considered those with 500 million barrels (79,000,000 m3) of ultimately recoverable oil or gas equivalent. Geoscientists believe these giants account for 40 percent of the world’s petroleum reserves. They are clustered in 27 regions of the world, with the largest clusters in the Persian Gulf and Western Siberian Basin.


Saudi-Arabian Oilfields

The article discusses the the world’s largest offshore field Safaniya.
Map “Saudi oil production, by field, in 1994” from Matt Simmons, “Twilight in the Desert”.


Nate Hagens – ASPO 2012

Nate Hagens, himself ex-Wallstreet, talking about ‘elephants in the room’. Includes financial aspects in his story.

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Energy Transition – ASPO 2012

Moderately upbeat story by UK’s Jeremy Leggett about the possibility of a successfull energy transition. Nice insider information of the ‘Yes minister‘ quality of British politics. Leggett believes in technology. We would like to add that we have no choice but to believe in technological solutions. Leggett worked for big oil and is a trained geologist.

[presentation slides]
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Russia Plays The European Card


Moi je dis qu’il faut faire l’Europe avec pour base un accord entre Français et Allemands. (…) Une fois l’Europe faite sur ces bases (…), alors, on pourra se tourner vers la Russie. Alors, on pourra essayer, une bonne fois pour toutes, de faire l’Europe tout entière avec la Russie aussi, dut-elle changer son régime. Voilà le programme des vrais Européens. Voilà le mien”.
Charles de Gaulle (1949)

In a recent ground-breaking foreign policy paper, Wladimir Putin reveals the contours of his grand strategy: “Russia is an inalienable and organic part of Greater Europe and European civilization. Our citizens think of themselves as Europeans. We are by no means indifferent to developments in united Europe.” That’s quite a relief for anybody who supports European civilization warm-heartedly as well has an understanding of Europe’s precarious energy situation. About the energy situation Putin has reassuring words: “We must also consider more extensive cooperation in the energy sphere, up to and including the formation of a common European energy complex. The Nord Stream gas pipeline under the Baltic Sea and the South Stream pipeline under the Black Sea are important steps in that direction.” If European leaders know what’s good for Europe they should enthusiastically accept Putin’s offer. More than a year earlier Putin had already signaled his readiness for far-reaching integration of the EU and Russia, where he envisioned “a unified continental market with a capacity worth trillions of euros.“. Yes, that’s right, euros.


What is happening here is the realization in slow motion of the grand strategy of the French general Charles de Gaulle of ‘l’Europe des Patries‘ as a counterweight against Anglo-Saxon world domination schemes of the Straussian elites running AIPAC-Washington today.

‘l’Europe des Patries‘ to replace the Brussels-EU American water carriers.

We are witnessing nothing short of the formation of a Paris-Berlin-Moscow axis that had its origins in the refusal of Greater Europe to join the US in its illfated Iraq safari.

True Europeans having a good laugh letting the US stumble into Iraq on their own to the tune of 3-5 trillion $. Who were the real winners after the debacle?

What happened between 2003-2012 was that the US blundered into de facto creating the foundations of a Shia super alliance dominating the Middle-East, by handing over Shia dominated Iraq to the Iranian sphere of influence.

Putin ‘kiss(ing)e(r)s’ the New World Order goodbye.

At the moment the US is meddling in Syria by supporting the insurgents, much like the western alliance did in Libya, in an attempt to break that country away from its alliance with Iran. Turkey is watching along the sidelines and amused as it sees potential for a neo-Ottoman expansion of its sphere of inflluence southwards, now that integration with the EU is becoming an ever less likely prospect, with the southern European financial meltdown. Turkey would be the most likely candidate to fill the vacuum in the Arab Sunni territories once the Pax Americana implodes, which it eventually will, either the soft way like the implosion of the USSR or after a major confrontation with SCO (WW3).

Putin maneuvered key NWO players behind bars or into exile to Britain or Israel.

The US are looking for an excuse to destroy Iran. The excuse is going to be the alleged intention of Iran to produce nuclear weapons, for which no proof exists. In reality Iran is a geopolitical pivot and a proxy and line of defense for Russian and Chinese interests. The control over the remainder of ME oil sources means control over China. The US goal (or that of the Straussians/neocons rather) is world government on their terms, located in either Washington or Jeruzalem. The result will be a world without borders and nations, which is not exactly in the interest of ordinary Europeans in either Europe or America.

Germany is almost totally dependent on Russia for its supply of fossil fuel. This is geopolitical fact with enormous repercussions. Russia basically owns Germany.
Population distribution of (potential) alliances:

  • EU + Russia + Ukraine (Greater Europe) = 502 + 143 + 46 = 691 million
  • China = 1300 million
  • Anglosphere = Israel + US + UK + Australia + Canada (anglo part) = 5 + 300 + 60 + 20 + 25 = 410 million
  • The perceived US naval superiority is a myth. This is the 21st century, that is the age of the supersonic missiles. If party A has a fleet of carriers and cruisers and party B has supersonic missiles, party B will win. Even the US-Navy admitted that. The Falklands war in 1982 already showed the new reality: Argentina would have won, had it obtained 10 or so more Exocet missiles and sank a few extra British vessels. The US navy is merely a drain on already overstretched domestic fiscal resources. The US navy is a Chinese asset.
    Chinese and Russian armies can occupy the Middle East over land; the US cannot
    The US has an adventurous ethnic make-up, for which history shows that the half-life of these political entities usually is very short (USSR, Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, Iraq to mention a few examples of ‘designer states’). It is unlikely that the majority Mexican US states like California and Texas are keen on fighting Washington’s war en will attempt to break away.

    The conflict likely will begin in the Gulf/Strait of Hormuz/Taiwan.

    End result: the West is going to be scuttled in the middle of the Atlantic and to be replaced by the North (Greater Europe). The world likely is going to be divided in two major spheres of influence: I) the European world located around the Atlantic, with center of gravity in Europe (Paris-Berlin-Moscow with 700 million people) plus a Euro-American annex of 180 million after the balkenization of North-America. II) the Asian world, dominated by China, including Australia and Japan and Korea and America’s west coast. Taiwan is going to be reabsorbed by Beijing.

    [Timothy Garton Ash – Turkey’s neo-Ottoman game plan]
    [Michael Weiss – Turkey’s Neo-Ottoman Foreign Policy]
    [This Is How the Carriers Will Die (Updated Version) – Gary Brecher]
    [U Sank My Carrier! – Gary Brecher]

    New Study: Solar Grid Parity Is Here Today

    A new study reveals: the price of solar energy-generated electricity, calculated by a legitimate levelized cost of energy (LCOE) method, is now competitive in many regions with the price of electricity generated by conventional sources… Solar has gone past grid parity. Parity in this context means: “the lifetime generation cost of the electricity from PV being comparable with the electricity prices for conventional sources on the grid.” Cost for PV systems have came down by 50% during the past few years. What’s keeping these systems from a large-scale introduction is that financial institutions are still uncomfortable to cooperate.


    [picture – Sanyo solar ark]

    Michael C. Ruppert – A World in Trouble

    Uploaded March 15, 2011

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    Solar Cell Production Process

    What do you need to produce a solar cell? First of all the production process is not all that different from computer chips except that the cleanliness rules are more relaxed. Raw materials required: silicon dioxide of either quartzite gravel or crushed quartz. The oxide needs to be removed to obtain pure silicon. Very pure. The purified silicon is doped with phosphorous and boron to provide it with the desired electrical properties. Next: anti-reflective coating, usually titanium dioxide.

    [wikipedia – solar cell]

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    EU27 2010 – 12.4% from renewables

    EU27 country list and the respective achievements in the field of renewable energy in % of the total energy consumption. The black lines represent 2020 targets. EU target for all member states: 20% from renewable sources by 2020.


    20 KW from a Kite

    English spoken from 0:22. Expected to be on the market in three years. Development driven by the Technical University Delft in The Netherlands under the aegis of Dutch former astronaut Wubbo Ockels.


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    Energy will become unpayable for lower incomes

    Statement made by Dutchman Peter Terium, CEO of RWE, a giant energy supplier from Germany. He might be right but for the wrong reasons as he blames ‘the desire to move away from fossil fuels’ for the increased cost of energy, stubornly ignoring that depletion of said fossil fuels is behind the ‘desire’ to find alternatives.


    The 100 year old picture shows immigrant children in the US. Scenes like this soon in a street near you?

    Serbia plans to build world’s largest solar PV plant

    1000 MW, 2 billion euro, 3000 hectares. Go for it, Serbia! Serbian government contribute to the project giving a free of charge lease on land for the park for a period of 25 years.


    Gravity Power Module

    Gravity Power, LLC, a spin-off of LaunchPoint Technologies, Inc., is developing a revolutionary grid-scale electricity storage system. The company’s new Gravity Power Module(GPM) exploits the established principles of pumped storage hydropower, but extends the concept in a new direction: Down.



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    Global solar energy consumption 2001-2011

    In absolute numbers this is still peanuts but solar power generation is clearly picking up steam. With current growth rates 10% share of the world’s energy demand would be achieved with solar by 2018 (2200TWh).


    Storing solar power

    Rather than feeding excess solar generated power into the grid, a franco-german project succeeded in increasing “own consumption” by 26%. Lithium-ion batteries with a useful storage capacity of 6 kilowatt-hours and about the size of a normal household freezer are the centerpiece of the system.


    Solar energy boom on horizon for Japan

    In the wake of the Fukushima desaster Japan has announced ambitious plans to boost solar power generation. What is special here is that there are no large-scale sar projects planned, but rather that the government will set the price of electricy. Industry Minister Yukio Edano may set a premium price for solar electricity that’s about triple what industrial users now pay for conventional power, a ministry official said. Read more…

    Are We Entering A Golden Age Of Gas?

    The International Energy Agency has produced a 150 page report titled: “Are we entering a golden age of gas?“. Here are the conclusions: Read more…

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