The US ruling class has done everything wrong since 2000. In fact, it has made so many mistakes that it won’t be able to recover from the consequences. What are these mistakes?
- Trumpeting its over-ambitious intentions from the roofs: Program for the New American Century (PNAC), causing a large chunk of the world to mobilize against itself. The founding of SCO (2001) and the BRICS (2009) was a direct result of the provocative behavior of the US at the end of the nineties. A de facto Russian-Chinese alliance was the result. The US led West cannot hope to subjugate the entire Eurasian land mass plus an emerging Caliphate.
- Planning and executing 9/11, three months before the developed world started to post on forums and began to write blogs, a very stupid thing to do. 9/11 hangs like a sword of Damocles over the US ruling elite and could lead to an anti-government uprising. 9/11 is still very alive and won’t go away.
- Iraq invasion. Rather than adding Iraq as another meek ally to the US global empire, the US effectively handed over the country involuntary to the Iranian sphere of influence, free of charge, at a price tag (for the US taxpayer) of 3-6 trillion $, depending on who you ask.
- Syria uprising. By destabilizing the Assad regime, the US created a power vacuum on a piece of territory, large enough to serve as critical mass for the coming Sunni Caliphate. Rather than integrating Iraq and Syria into the NWO, the US is now running the risk of losing the entire Middle East (plus oil) to the forces of Sunni fundamentalism (“a second Iran”).
Nevertheless, below you will find two links to gentlemen, who beg to differ and optimistically prognosticate that the US will be able to continue its role, adopted in 1945, deep into the future.
[desertsun.com] – Morris Beschloss: Why USA Will Remain World’s Dominant Economic Power
Morris Beschloss (picture on the left) is certain: yes, China will indeed surpass the US in GDP, but in his view GDP is not a good measure of global economic superiority. Beschloss believes that China “will not be destined to overcome the solidity of the U.S.’s overall economic power center” for four reasons:
- Abundance of resources: fossil fuel, arable land, dynamic corporate culture
- Fast growing population and superb US skills in integrating these people
- Freedom of expression
- $81 trillion assets, not including resources in the ground
Perhaps Beschloss should intensively study this graph:
…and become impressed (intimidated?) with the speed with which China is overtaking the rest. There are no signs that China is losing momentum. In reality, looking at the graph, China is rapidly approaching the posh airliner USA from under through the clouds, like a shabby Ukrainian fighter jet.
Furthermore it is interesting that Beschloss seems to assume that the US has Europe in its pocket. Although he is excused to think so for the short term, the European behavior during the Iraq invasion in 2003 should have been a warning signal, namely that the two most important European powers, France and Germany, could side with Russia. And they could do it again.
Ad-1: Regarding resources: arable land? The US is not very efficient in producing food. Holland, Germany and France each individually can export comparable amounts of agricultural products with far less land and people. Yes China is in a difficult position regarding food, but not Europe. The US needs to import most of its oil and this is not going to change in the future, regardless of all the happy talk about ‘oil glut’ thanks to fracking, which represents merely a dent in the entire energy budget, resources like oil, gas and coal are not the future but will deplete. The future is renewable energy and precisely in this field is the US lagging behind compared to the other power centers Europe and China. Historic examples of the British empire and the US itself has shown that the political entity that knows how to apply a new energy source first (Britain-coal and US-oil), will be the next top dog. This won’t be different at the end of the oil age. The entity who first recognizes that renewable energy is the future and gets serious about it, will be the top dog of the 21st century. These entities are Europe and China. The US basically has no renewable energy policy on the federal level at all. Fossil fuel is quasi in the DNA of US society. The US rise went hand in hand with the exploitation of oil and will go down with it.
Ad-2: Promoting unlimited immigration will increase ethnic tensions (see the Trayvon Martin farce, Ferguson, flash mobs and the knockout game phenomenon) that can and will explode on the very moment the world will dump the dollar and it will be clear for everybody to see that the US won’t achieve its desired global empire, it has been working towards for a century. The result will be the same as everywhere else (Yugoslavia, USSR, Iraq, Syria): Balkanization. Already a staggering 25% of the population wishes to secede from the union. Expect this number to vastly increase in the near future. Importing one million mostly unskilled labor from the third world every year is not a good idea at all and will add to the growing under class and frequenters of soup kitchens and not many ‘rocket scientists’ will be found among them. Come to think of it: does the US still have a space program? Where are the new space shuttles? The new Apollo program? The truth is that the US is no longer able to put a man in orbit. Today only Russia can and perhaps China. And more down to earth: Europe, Japan and China have a high speed rail network. China will begin to build a network in Russia. USA? Nothing. According to Paul Craig Roberts the US will be a third world country by 2024. That’s merely a decade from now. Third world countries have no space program, no high speed rail network, are not innovative, are poor and have high crime rates. It is likely that considering the ethnic composition of the US of the future, after the fall of the dollar, average income will be vastly lower than in Europe and even lower than in Russia. Expect that millions of Euro-Americans will try to leave the US, if secession will fail, and repatriate ‘home’ to Euro-Siberia.
Ad-3: Uh-huh. The US ranks a meager 46 on the international freedom of press ranking. Not sure what freedom of expression has to do with economic power.
Ad-4: the “US is so rich” meme, $81 trillion, no less. Beschloss apparently forgets to include the debt (still rapidly on the increase), both explicit debt (100+ % GDP) plus unfunded liabilities (implicit debt). The sad truth is that if the US government wants to keep its society on exactly the same level as it is today, meaning the same total income, the same infrastructure condition, the same handouts, the same pensions, the same military, etc., etc… for the foreseeable future, the US lacks 13.4 times its own GDP or a staggering 222 trillion dollar, see interview with Lawrence Kotlikoff here. Something has got to give. The truth is that most Americans will never receive a substantial pension in the future.
This graph was published by the German, but very US-friendly newspaper die Welt. It shows that of all western countries, the US is by far in the worst financial shape, unlike Germany and Italy, that have no serious financial problems at all. Europe still has a potent industry, corresponding export surplus, has more or less balanced budgets and does not try to conquer the world with a very expensive military with little returns.
But hey, even German magazine and US State Department mouth piece der Spiegel was preparing us for a financial collapse, earlier this month.
[amazon.com] – George Friedman: The Next 100 Years
George Friedman is running the geopolitical magazine Stratfor. And he wrote a book about the next 100 years, summary here. His forecasts:
- There is going to be a second cold war between US and Russia. The US will manage to create a Polish-led anti Russian coalition with the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania.
- Russia and China will fall apart.
- Between 2020-2030 three powers will rise in Eurasia: Turkey (neo-Ottoman empire, including Arabia and Islamic republics Caucasus), Japan and Poland (rerun Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth).
- Western nations will begin to compete for immigrants to combat demographic decline.
- Around there will be WW3, between the US, China, Britain, India & Polish Bloc against the Turkish-Japanese alliance. Happily the US is going to win this war, casualties will be limited to 50,000 killed. Poland will become hegemonic in Europe.
- America will remain top dog for the rest of the century. By the end of the 21st century, Mexico will dominate north America.
Both Friedman and Beschloss pass the same message of wishful-thinking regarding their own club: the US will be fine and remain ‘on top’, far into the future. Or so they think.
Point 1, 2, 4 and 6 are program, packaged as ‘prediction’. That the US indeed wants to revive the Cold War is more than obvious from their behavior since the EuroMaidan revolution. That US backed NGO’s try to destabilize notably Russia from within, is also clear. But at the same time, Wladimir Putin’s approval ratings are sky-high, unlike those of Barack Obama. Yes, there is some trouble in Hong-Kong, but that newly acquired city state is not representative for the rest of China. Both Russians and Chinese greatly appreciate their increased standing in the world and there are no signs that the resp. populations have a desire to ‘rock the boat’. Both China and Russia are dominated by a single ethnicity, unlike America and that is precisely the reason why the US and not Russia or China is going to disintegrate. We agree with the prediction that the Ottoman empire could rise again and that such an empire will keep the West at a distance. Just like Beschloss, Friedman completely ignores Europe, the largest integrated and most advanced economy on earth. They think they have the EU in their pocket until kingdom comes, a risky assumption. We prefer to ignore the insane idea of a revival of Poland as a large European state, or coalitions with global reach like between Turkey and Japan. We foresee that Japan will become a de facto Chinese satellite, just like Canada is a US satellite. Poland will probably not repeat the mistakes from 1939 when it greatly overestimated itself and relied on alliances with far away ‘friends’, like Britain and the US. The recent obscenities uttered by Polish FM Sikorski, could be seen as an indication that Poland has learned its lesson. Regarding point 4: it is exactly the reckless promotion of mass immigration that eventually will contribute to the demise of the US as a unified state. Demography is destiny. Euro-Americans are invited to enjoy the prospect of becoming citizens of a third world country. In all likelihood they won’t accept that proposition and they will start to behave like the people in Donbass and decide to vote with their feet (and their guns). Now it is 25% of the population that wants to secede; after the fall of the dollar, that could become a Euro-American majority position. You really think that ISIS can’t happen to the US? Think again. In the end, the US will disintegrate, just like that other globalist bully disintegrated, the USSR.
The 20th century was the Anglo-Soviet century, it was the century of ‘progress’, the century of economic expansion, the oil century. But the 20th century is over, no matter how much Friedman and Beschloss would like to see their century continued into the next, but there will be no second American century. The resource depletion problem cluster is completely absent from the considerations of both gentlemen. Palestine could be reabsorbed by a reemerging Ottoman empire. Fossil fuel based progress and economic expansion, like we have known since the end of French revolution are over. The 21st century will be a century of contraction. Mass long distance transport is going to decline and perhaps disappear altogether. The world will become bigger again and archaic. ISIS fundamentalism is not a passing phenomenon, but will become the norm.
1300 million Chinese and 750 million Europeans with an higher average IQ than 330 million Americans. Are you sure it is a good idea to challenge them? Beschloss and Friedman and their merry band of self-styled Exceptionalists, a third world country in statu nascendi that wants to rule the world. Good luck with that. Beschloss and Friedman are voices from a time gone by. Mind the step on your way out, gentlemen.